RAC9%Draw12%RMA79%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.583%
- Both teams to score
- Yes66%
- Correct score
- 1-38%
Football predictions for today
Win chances for every match in seventeen leagues, from a goals model that updates hourly. Every pick is graded in public.
Predictions updated 1 Nov, 14:04. Refreshed every hour.
Strongest call in the next 36 hours
Today and tomorrow
Live scoresToday, Sunday 1 November
La Liga Spain
GET30%Draw34%SEV36%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.571%
- Both teams to score
- No62%
- Correct score
- 0-016%
RAC9%Draw12%RMA79%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.583%
- Both teams to score
- Yes66%
- Correct score
- 1-38%
ELC48%Draw27%VAL24%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.552%
- Both teams to score
- Yes52%
- Correct score
- 1-113%
ATH37%Draw25%RSO38%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.563%
- Both teams to score
- Yes65%
- Correct score
- 1-111%
Scottish Premiership Scotland
FALK27%Draw25%CEL48%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.561%
- Both teams to score
- Yes62%
- Correct score
- 1-111%
Süper Lig Turkey
IBFK64%Draw21%SAM15%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.562%
- Both teams to score
- Yes57%
- Correct score
- 2-010%
TRAB75%Draw16%GAZ9%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.568%
- Both teams to score
- Yes54%
- Correct score
- 2-011%
KAS29%Draw27%BES44%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Both teams to score
- Yes55%
- Correct score
- 1-113%
Eredivisie Netherlands
EXC26%Draw26%TWE48%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Both teams to score
- Yes56%
- Correct score
- 1-112%
TEL43%Draw25%UTR32%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.564%
- Both teams to score
- Yes65%
- Correct score
- 1-111%
GRO63%Draw20%SPA17%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.570%
- Both teams to score
- Yes64%
- Correct score
- 2-19%
Serie A Italy
FRO64%Draw18%TOR18%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.578%
- Both teams to score
- Yes71%
- Correct score
- 2-18%
LAZ61%Draw25%CAG15%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.553%
- Both teams to score
- No55%
- Correct score
- 1-013%
LEC33%Draw32%GEN35%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.564%
- Both teams to score
- No55%
- Correct score
- 1-115%
JUV45%Draw27%NAP28%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Both teams to score
- Yes55%
- Correct score
- 1-113%
Ligue 1 France
STR53%Draw23%AUX24%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.564%
- Both teams to score
- Yes63%
- Correct score
- 1-110%
LYON67%Draw21%ANG12%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Both teams to score
- No53%
- Correct score
- 2-013%
PAR42%Draw27%MON30%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Both teams to score
- Yes56%
- Correct score
- 1-113%
OLM48%Draw24%TOU27%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.562%
- Both teams to score
- Yes63%
- Correct score
- 1-111%
Bundesliga Germany
FCU42%Draw27%KOE31%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Both teams to score
- Yes57%
- Correct score
- 1-113%
SGE48%Draw25%HSV28%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.560%
- Both teams to score
- Yes62%
- Correct score
- 1-111%
Primeira Liga Portugal
FCA55%Draw25%CDN20%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Both teams to score
- Yes52%
- Correct score
- 1-112%
ACV71%Draw19%RAFC10%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Both teams to score
- No51%
- Correct score
- 2-012%
MAR25%Draw27%CDSC47%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.552%
- Both teams to score
- Yes52%
- Correct score
- 1-113%
SCB44%Draw29%FCF27%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.556%
- Both teams to score
- No50%
- Correct score
- 1-114%
Premier League England
LIV25%Draw29%ARS46%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.556%
- Both teams to score
- No51%
- Correct score
- 1-114%
Liga Profesional Argentina
CABJ48%Draw29%RIV24%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.557%
- Both teams to score
- No52%
- Correct score
- 1-114%
BEL43%Draw35%BAR22%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.576%
- Both teams to score
- No68%
- Correct score
- 0-020%
NOB39%Draw28%USF32%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.551%
- Both teams to score
- Yes54%
- Correct score
- 1-113%
MLS USA
VAN60%Draw24%SEA16%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Both teams to score
- No51%
- Correct score
- 1-012%
ATL39%Draw26%TOR36%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Both teams to score
- Yes63%
- Correct score
- 1-112%
NSH71%Draw20%RBNY10%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Both teams to score
- No56%
- Correct score
- 2-014%
Tomorrow, Monday 2 November
Liga MX Mexico
SAN51%Draw25%NCX24%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Both teams to score
- Yes60%
- Correct score
- 1-111%
CAZ64%Draw20%LEO16%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.567%
- Both teams to score
- Yes61%
- Correct score
- 2-110%
Liga Profesional Argentina
LAN52%Draw29%GMZ18%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.564%
- Both teams to score
- No60%
- Correct score
- 1-016%
DYJ43%Draw29%IND27%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.557%
- Both teams to score
- No51%
- Correct score
- 1-114%
PLA47%Draw30%CTR24%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.561%
- Both teams to score
- No55%
- Correct score
- 1-114%
MLS USA
NE39%Draw23%MIA38%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.572%
- Both teams to score
- Yes72%
- Correct score
- 1-19%
LAFC57%Draw23%MIN19%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Both teams to score
- Yes58%
- Correct score
- 1-111%
POR39%Draw28%HOU33%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Both teams to score
- Yes56%
- Correct score
- 1-113%
Süper Lig Turkey
GEN33%Draw31%ALA36%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.561%
- Both teams to score
- No54%
- Correct score
- 1-114%
Serie A Italy
SAS47%Draw26%FIO28%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.557%
- Both teams to score
- Yes60%
- Correct score
- 1-112%
ATA59%Draw26%PAR15%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.559%
- Both teams to score
- No59%
- Correct score
- 1-015%
Ligue 1 France
LOR46%Draw28%BRE26%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.555%
- Both teams to score
- Yes50%
- Correct score
- 1-113%
Premier League England
NEW48%Draw27%EVE26%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Both teams to score
- Yes55%
- Correct score
- 1-113%
La Liga Spain
DEP51%Draw26%OSA22%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.550%
- Both teams to score
- Yes52%
- Correct score
- 1-113%
Primeira Liga Portugal
SLB77%Draw15%ALV8%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.567%
- Both teams to score
- Yes51%
- Correct score
- 2-011%
GVFC44%Draw31%VSC25%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.563%
- Both teams to score
- No56%
- Correct score
- 1-114%
Tuesday 3 November
Brasileirão Brazil
BRA39%Draw28%SAN33%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.551%
- Both teams to score
- Yes55%
- Correct score
- 1-113%
Liga Profesional Argentina
CAT26%Draw33%ARGJ41%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Under 2.569%
- Both teams to score
- No61%
- Correct score
- 0-015%
RIV50%Draw25%BAN25%
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.556%
- Both teams to score
- Yes58%
- Correct score
- 1-112%
3 matches not shown: at least one team in each has too few recent results in the leagues we cover for a reliable prediction.
Bankers
All bankersThe strongest pick per match in the next 36 hours, only where the model is at least 62% sure.
SLB77%Draw15%ALV8%
- Draw no bet
- Home91%Fair odds 1.10
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.567%
- Both teams to score
- Yes51%
RAC9%Draw12%RMA79%
- Draw no bet
- Away90%Fair odds 1.11
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.583%
- Both teams to score
- Yes66%
NSH71%Draw20%RBNY10%
- Draw no bet
- Home88%Fair odds 1.13
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Both teams to score
- No56%
ACV71%Draw19%RAFC10%
- Draw no bet
- Home87%Fair odds 1.15
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Both teams to score
- No51%
LYON67%Draw21%ANG12%
- Draw no bet
- Home85%Fair odds 1.18
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Both teams to score
- No53%
Is it any good?
Full track record50%1X2 hit rate, last 10 weeks (backtest)
7,081results the model learns from
381teams rated
193fixtures priced this week
How our predictions work
Hand of Arsenal rates every team on how many goals it scores and concedes, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, with recent matches counting more than old ones. From those ratings it works out the chance of every possible scoreline, and every market on this site comes from that one grid of probabilities: the result, double chance, over/under, both teams to score, draw no bet and the correct score.
Each match card has three chips: the home win in green, the draw in grey and the away win in blue, each with its chance. The likeliest outcome is filled in. The percentage beside every other tip is how often the model expects it to land.
Nothing is edited by hand. Fixtures and results load automatically, the model refits every day, predictions refresh every hour, and each pick is frozen at kick-off and then graded against the final score in our track record.
Predictions by league
- Premier League predictions
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- Champions League predictions
- Europa League predictions
- Championship predictions
- Scottish Premiership predictions
- Süper Lig predictions
- Saudi Pro League predictions
- MLS predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Brasileirão predictions
- Liga Profesional predictions
Predictions by market
- Match result (1X2)
- Double chance
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Both teams to score
- Correct score
- Draw no bet
- Asian handicap
- Odd/Even goals
- First team to score
- Win to nil
Frequently asked questions
Are these football predictions free?
Yes. Every prediction on Hand of Arsenal is free to read, with no sign-up.
How accurate are the predictions?
Accuracy depends on the market. Results like the match winner land roughly half the time because football is close to a three-way coin toss; safer markets such as over 1.5 goals land more often. Our track record page shows the real hit rate of every market, updated after each match.
When are predictions updated?
Every hour. New fixtures appear as soon as they are scheduled, and the model is refitted on the latest results once a day.
Is there such a thing as a sure win?
No. Any site promising sure wins is selling something. A 75% pick still loses one time in four. We publish probabilities so you can see exactly how confident the model is.
What time zone are kick-off times in?
Kick-off times are shown in West Africa Time (WAT), which is the same as UK time in winter plus one hour.